The Public Authorities (Fraud, Error and Recovery) Bill was introduced to Parliament in January 2025, the National Audit Office has said1. The legislation sits alongside the Department for Work and Pensions' fraud and error work, which the NAO examined in a report published on 22 October 20251.
The NAO found that the estimated proportion of benefit expenditure overpaid by the DWP fell from 3.6% (£9.7 billion) in 2023-24 to 3.3% (£9.5 billion) in 2024-25, but had not returned to pre-pandemic levels1. In 2019-20 the estimated overpayment rate was 2.4% on the National Statistic for fraud and error in the benefit system, and 3.1% on the DWP's cross-welfare rate, which includes Tax Credit overpayments1. The Spring Statement 2025 forecast that overpayments would fall to the pre-pandemic level of 3.1% by 2028-291.
Universal Credit accounted for 67% of overpayments by value in 2024-251. Its estimated overpayment rate fell by 2.7 percentage points, from 12.4% in 2023-24 to 9.7% in 2024-251. For the first time since Universal Credit was rolled out nationally in 2018, it did not have the highest overpayment rate across all benefit lines; Pension Credit had the highest estimated rate at 10.3%1.
The DWP's refreshed fraud and error strategy was approved in November 2024, after it assessed its commitments, progress and operating model1. The NAO said the DWP rated as "red" the risk that its plans to reduce fraud and error are not successfully executed and/or cannot mitigate the increased propensity for fraud in society1. The government has awarded the DWP £6.7 billion of dedicated funding for fraud and error activity over the nine years from 2020-21 to 2028-29, with 52% of the total (£3.5 billion) due in the three years from 2026-271.
"The government introduced the Public Authorities (Fraud, Error and Recovery) Bill to Parliament in January 2025"
The DWP paid £290.8 billion in benefits including State Pension in 2024-25 and spent £7.3 billion on running costs, making payments to more than 23 million people across Great Britain1. It saved an estimated £4.5 billion in Annually Managed Expenditure through counter-fraud activities from April 2022 to March 2025, achieving £1.35 billion in 2023-24 against a target of £1.3 billion and £2.0 billion in 2024-25 against a target of £1.7 billion1. Successive Comptroller and Auditor Generals have qualified their audit opinions on the regularity of the DWP's accounts, excluding State Pension, for 37 years because of material fraud and error1.
Why it matters for households
The figures cover benefit payments made to more than 23 million people, so changes to verification and information-gathering powers affect claimants across Great Britain1. Overpayments arise where a benefit is paid to someone not entitled to it, or at a rate different from the amount set in legislation; the NAO says such payments are irregular1. The main causes of Universal Credit overpayments in 2024-25 were claimants, mainly self-employed, not declaring work income in full, not declaring that they lived with a partner, and not declaring all financial assets1. The DWP has used a machine learning model since May 2022 to flag potentially fraudulent claims for Universal Credit advances, and has one model deployed with four others in development and testing1. The NAO also found the DWP's IT systems are not fully integrated and do not let staff view all the information it holds about a claimant1. The NAO's work did not cover benefit underpayments1.
What happens next
The NAO reports that the DWP had started to develop implementation and evaluation plans for its strategy at the time of its work1. Funding is backloaded, with the DWP due to receive 52% of the £6.7 billion total in the three years from 2026-271. The Spring Statement 2025 forecast overpayments falling to 3.1% by 2028-291. The NAO says the DWP is in the early stages of assessing its strategic controls framework1.


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